Northwestern State
W-L: ( 3-11) PR = 90.0282Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 3- 9 207 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 0- 3 207 H Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 6- 7 208 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 0- 2 208 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 1- 9 213 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 9- 8 214 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 4- 6 217 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 3-12 222 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 0- 3 227 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 1- 6 228 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 5- 3 331 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 2- 1 430 H Incarnate Word SL ( 4-10, 90.2) 4- 5 502 H Stephen F. Austin SL ( 6- 5, 92.9) 2- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Mississippi State 3- 9 -6 -7 1.24
207 H New Mexico 0- 3 -3 -1 -1.57
207 H Wichita State 6- 7 -1 -4 + 2.89
208 A New Mexico 0- 2 -2 -3 0.91
208 A Baylor 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.06
213 H Georgia State 9- 8 1 -1 1.63
214 A New Mexico 4- 6 -2 -3 0.91
217 A Louisiana Tech 3-12 -9 -4 -- -5.50
222 H Georgia 0- 3 -3 -7 + 3.92
227 H Missouri State 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.97
228 H Missouri State 5- 3 2 0 + 2.03
331 H Louisiana Tech 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.02
430 H Incarnate Word 4- 5 -1 1 -1.55
502 H Stephen F. Austin 2- 4 -2 -2 0.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Louisiana Tech 3-12 -9 -4 -- -5.50 227 H Missouri State 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.97 208 A Baylor 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.06 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Wichita State 6- 7 -1 -4 + 2.89 222 H Georgia 0- 3 -3 -7 + 3.92 228 H Missouri State 5- 3 2 0 + 2.03 331 H Louisiana Tech 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.02 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 3- 9 -3.37 16.00 0.74 1.80 -2.37
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 0- 3 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 1.80 -7.60
3 H Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 6- 7 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 1.80 -5.39
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 0- 2 -7.70 11.67 0.74 1.80 -6.27
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 1- 9 -5.67 13.70 0.74 1.80 -4.44
3 H Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 9- 8 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 1.80 36.46
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 4- 6 -7.70 11.67 0.74 1.80 -6.27
3 A Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 3-12 -7.11 12.26 0.74 1.80 -5.73
3 H Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 0- 3 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 1.80 -2.65
3 H Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 1- 6 -9.10 10.27 -0.74 1.80 -8.86
3 H Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 5- 3 -9.10 10.27 -0.74 1.80 34.30
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 2- 1 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 1.80 41.46
3 H Incarnate Word ( 4-10, 90.2) 4- 5 -9.68 9.69 -0.74 1.80 -9.38
3 H Stephen F. Aus ( 6- 5, 92.9) 2- 4 -7.02 12.35 -0.74 1.80 -6.99
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46.28
|
winning pts = 112.2257 losing points = -65.9493
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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